Please refer the given link to check your chances :
https://www.google.com/amp/s/engineering.careers360.com/articles/jee-main-cutoff/amp

https://engineering.careers360.com/articles/jee-main-cutoff

You can also use college predictor tool :
https://engineering.careers360.com/jee-main-college-predictor

Everything is defined in details.
Every year cut off changes.It depends on various factors.
Hope I helped you.All the best for future endeavour!