Hello there ,

Hope you are doing well. See , it can't be told exactly by what number the cutoff score will increase this year . But yes , it is expected to increase as compared to last year's cut-offs this year because of the implementation of a new guideline by the Supreme court of conducting 4 rounds in the All India Counselling . Earlier there used to be only 2 rounds and the seats left after these 2 rounds were reverted back to the states to be filled by the state quota .

As this year , hardly any seats or even no seats will be returned , cutoffs are expected to increase a little but not drastically. You can expect the closing AIR for a government medical seat this year to be 3k-4k less than the last year's closing AIRs. Also do remember this is only a general estimate and we'll only be able to see the real outcomes after all the rounds of All India and state quota counselling are completed.

Also , you can check the previous year's closing AIR in your state for your category and in NEET-2021 ,if you have gotten an AIR of atleast 3k less than that ,you can consider yourself to be safe as of now .

Hope my answer helped.